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	<title>TylerSells Blog &#187; Jeff Michael</title>
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		<title>California Foreclosure Crisis Subsides</title>
		<link>http://www.tylersells.net/blog/2010/05/california-foreclosure-crisis-subsides/</link>
		<comments>http://www.tylersells.net/blog/2010/05/california-foreclosure-crisis-subsides/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 May 2010 16:10:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tyler Smith</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[home prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing affordability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Michael]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keller Williams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REO properties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sacbee.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sacramento]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sacramento bank owned properties]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tylersells.net/blog/?p=359</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
For once California&#8217;s economy looks good compared to that of some other states.
A foreclosure crisis that has dimmed the state&#8217;s golden glow with images of financial ruin and broken government is beginning to wane, says a leading trade group for the U.S. mortgage industry.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday that California foreclosure starts have fallen [...]]]></description>
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<p>For once <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California&#8217;s</a> economy looks good compared to that of some other states.</p>
<p>A foreclosure crisis that has dimmed the state&#8217;s golden glow with images of financial ruin and broken government is beginning to wane, says a leading trade group for the U.S. mortgage industry.</p>
<p>The <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Mortgage+Bankers+Association/">Mortgage Bankers Association</a> said Wednesday that <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California</a> foreclosure starts have fallen from a year ago – even as problems grow in Midwestern Rust Belt states such as <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Ohio/">Ohio,</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Michigan/">Michigan,</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Indiana/">Indiana</a> and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Illinois/">Illinois.</a></p>
<p>&#8220;<a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California</a> is showing signs of improvement. We are seeing it on a quarter-to-quarter basis and year-over-year basis,&#8221; MBA Chief Economist <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Jay+Brinkmann/">Jay Brinkmann</a> said.</p>
<p>Consider:</p>
<p>• In the past year <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California</a> moved from fourth place among U.S. states for foreclosure starts to seventh.</p>
<p>• Mortgage delinquencies, while up from early 2009, fell slightly in early 2010.</p>
<p>• The percentage of <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California</a> mortgages in the foreclosure process fell, too, during the past year.</p>
<p><a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California&#8217;s</a> fragile improvements come as the national picture is less clear. Collectively, the longtime mortgage disaster areas – Florida, <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California,</a> Arizona and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Nevada/">Nevada</a> – are becoming less of a problem nationally, MBA data showed.</p>
<p>&#8220;A year ago they had 45.3 percent of the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/problem+loans/">problem loans,</a>&#8221; said Brinkmann. &#8220;That&#8217;s down to 37.9 percent.</p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;re looking now at <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Illinois/">Illinois,</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Ohio/">Ohio,</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Michigan/">Michigan</a> and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Indiana/">Indiana.</a> They&#8217;re climbing back into the list of problems,&#8221; he said. Those states have longer-term structural problems as their manufacturing economies continue to decline.</p>
<p>The new data confirmed improvements in <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California</a> and the Sacramento area recently cited by researcher MDA DataQuick. Last month the firm said <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/mortgage+defaults/">mortgage defaults</a> have fallen for a year straight in the state and region, with foreclosures dropping now as well.</p>
<p>In hard-hit Sacramento suburbs such as Natomas, Lincoln and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Elk+Grove/">Elk Grove,</a> residents see dwindling evidence of the crisis.</p>
<p>&#8220;All those houses that were vacant before were sold in the last year or two,&#8221; said Tyler Smith<a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Yuri+Ramirez/">,</a> a Keller Williams agent in <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Elk+Grove/">Sacramento</a> &#8220;A year ago it seemed every other house on some of those streets were vacant.&#8221;</p>
<p>Homeowners in distress are increasingly using short sales to unload their properties rather than losing them to foreclosure.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s helping preserve neighborhoods, because these owners stay in the homes until they&#8217;re sold rather being evicted and leaving an empty house behind.</p>
<p>Make no mistake: <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California&#8217;s</a> long journey into a financial meltdown is nowhere near its conclusion, economists say.</p>
<p>They foresee prolonged trouble for the state economy and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/government+revenues/">government revenues.</a> At best, said Los Angeles economist <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Chris+Thornberg/">Chris Thornberg,</a> &#8220;The worst is behind us.&#8221; He added, &#8220;We have years yet of dealing with this.&#8221;</p>
<p>Like everything about the foreclosure crisis, even explaining a sense of improvement is open to interpretation. Thornberg said a fall in <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California</a> foreclosure starts shows only that banks are taking longer to deal with late <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/mortgage+payments/">mortgage payments.</a></p>
<p><a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Jeff+Michael/">Jeff Michael,</a> director of the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Business+Forecasting+Center/">Business Forecasting Center</a> at the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/University/">University</a> of the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/Pacific/">Pacific,</a> said simply, &#8220;This suggests we&#8217;ve reached the point where the number moving into delinquency equals the number moving out.&#8221;</p>
<p>Even that might be declared victory. More people are moving out of delinquency through short sales – selling their homes for less than they owe. And despite criticism of government loan modification efforts, the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/U.S.+Treasury+Department/">U.S. Treasury Department</a> reported this week that 5,400 homeowners in the eight-county Sacramento region received permanent loan modifications since December 2009. Regionally, banks foreclosed on 4,300 more in the first quarter of 2010.</p>
<p>Any slowdown of last year&#8217;s frightful rise in delinquencies, said Michael, &#8220;indicates we&#8217;re close to a peak.&#8221;</p>
<p>The state still has a long way to go before it regains a healthy economy, 6 percent <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/unemployment/">unemployment</a> and a budget in the black, Thornberg and Michael agreed Wednesday. But for once, <a rel="nofollow" href="http://topics.sacbee.com/California/">California</a> is falling off lists of the worst performers.</p>
<p>Eventually, the supply of distressed properties will simply be exhausted, Michael said, adding, &#8220;The fire will burn itself out for lack of fuel.&#8221;</p>
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