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Thursday, August 5th, 2010California Foreclosure Crisis Subsides
Wednesday, May 26th, 2010For once California’s economy looks good compared to that of some other states.
A foreclosure crisis that has dimmed the state’s golden glow with images of financial ruin and broken government is beginning to wane, says a leading trade group for the U.S. mortgage industry.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday that California foreclosure starts have fallen from a year ago – even as problems grow in Midwestern Rust Belt states such as Ohio, Michigan, Indiana and Illinois.
“California is showing signs of improvement. We are seeing it on a quarter-to-quarter basis and year-over-year basis,” MBA Chief Economist Jay Brinkmann said.
Consider:
• In the past year California moved from fourth place among U.S. states for foreclosure starts to seventh.
• Mortgage delinquencies, while up from early 2009, fell slightly in early 2010.
• The percentage of California mortgages in the foreclosure process fell, too, during the past year.
California’s fragile improvements come as the national picture is less clear. Collectively, the longtime mortgage disaster areas – Florida, California, Arizona and Nevada – are becoming less of a problem nationally, MBA data showed.
“A year ago they had 45.3 percent of the problem loans,” said Brinkmann. “That’s down to 37.9 percent.
“We’re looking now at Illinois, Ohio, Michigan and Indiana. They’re climbing back into the list of problems,” he said. Those states have longer-term structural problems as their manufacturing economies continue to decline.
The new data confirmed improvements in California and the Sacramento area recently cited by researcher MDA DataQuick. Last month the firm said mortgage defaults have fallen for a year straight in the state and region, with foreclosures dropping now as well.
In hard-hit Sacramento suburbs such as Natomas, Lincoln and Elk Grove, residents see dwindling evidence of the crisis.
“All those houses that were vacant before were sold in the last year or two,” said Tyler Smith, a Keller Williams agent in Sacramento “A year ago it seemed every other house on some of those streets were vacant.”
Homeowners in distress are increasingly using short sales to unload their properties rather than losing them to foreclosure.
That’s helping preserve neighborhoods, because these owners stay in the homes until they’re sold rather being evicted and leaving an empty house behind.
Make no mistake: California’s long journey into a financial meltdown is nowhere near its conclusion, economists say.
They foresee prolonged trouble for the state economy and government revenues. At best, said Los Angeles economist Chris Thornberg, “The worst is behind us.” He added, “We have years yet of dealing with this.”
Like everything about the foreclosure crisis, even explaining a sense of improvement is open to interpretation. Thornberg said a fall in California foreclosure starts shows only that banks are taking longer to deal with late mortgage payments.
Jeff Michael, director of the Business Forecasting Center at the University of the Pacific, said simply, “This suggests we’ve reached the point where the number moving into delinquency equals the number moving out.”
Even that might be declared victory. More people are moving out of delinquency through short sales – selling their homes for less than they owe. And despite criticism of government loan modification efforts, the U.S. Treasury Department reported this week that 5,400 homeowners in the eight-county Sacramento region received permanent loan modifications since December 2009. Regionally, banks foreclosed on 4,300 more in the first quarter of 2010.
Any slowdown of last year’s frightful rise in delinquencies, said Michael, “indicates we’re close to a peak.”
The state still has a long way to go before it regains a healthy economy, 6 percent unemployment and a budget in the black, Thornberg and Michael agreed Wednesday. But for once, California is falling off lists of the worst performers.
Eventually, the supply of distressed properties will simply be exhausted, Michael said, adding, “The fire will burn itself out for lack of fuel.”
Sacramento April home sales prices increase from year earlier
Tuesday, May 25th, 2010More people bought pricier houses in April, signaling the end of Sacramento’s bargain basement-only sales scene.
Buyers picked up the pace from last year in Granite Bay, El Dorado Hills and older neighborhoods near downtown Sacramento, researcher MDA DataQuick reported Thursday. Simultaneously, buyers dwindled in Oak Park, North Highlands and other repo zones of the past two years.
What gives?
There are fewer available repos after a long blowout sale, market trackers say. There’s also a sense at the higher end that this market is as good as it’s going to get for a while.
He said he sold three houses this week valued between $350,000 and $800,000.
The shifting sales mix tugged Sacramento County’s median sales price for resale houses nearly 10 percent higher than the same time last year, DataQuick reported. The median, where half cost more and half less, was $175,000.
Resale home prices also beat April 2009 levels in Placer, Sutter, Yolo and Yuba counties.
Less than half of Sacramento County’s April sales were cheap bank repos – compared with two-thirds a year earlier. With fewer repos this year, sales in the $200,000 to $400,000 range grabbed a larger market share.
“We’ve had 70 people coming through open houses in the $300,000 to $400,000 range,” said Bob Bronswick, president of Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Sacramento and Lake Tahoe.
“That’s the trend across the state,” said DataQuick analyst Andrew LePage. He said sellers are cutting prices and buyers are still getting low interest rates to make deals work.
Sellers are not thinking about 2005. They’re thinking: ‘We might have to take it back to 2003 or 2002 prices and sell it at that.’
This doesn’t mean expensive is back. LePage said homes priced above $400,000 are only a tiny percentage of Sacramento-area sales.
But the shift is part of restoring balance to a market where repos accounted for a majority of sales for much of 2008 and 2009. Banks have cut repossessed homes on the market.
“The way banks are managing it now will probably keep prices from falling much further,” said Rick Sharga of Orange County foreclosure analyst RealtyTrac.
Overall, 3,255 homes changed hands during April in Amador, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo and Yuba counties, DataQuick reported. That was down slightly from March – and fewer than April 2009.
Analysts attributed the slight drop to fewer repo listings for first-time buyers and people delaying escrow closings until May. The state began offering homebuyer tax credits of up to $10,000 May 1.
New homes accounted for 5 percent of sales in the region.
Tyler Smith & Team ranked #24 in the Nation
Wednesday, April 14th, 2010For the months of January and February we were ranked in the top 50 nationwide. We came in at #24 and are very excited. We have one of the hardest working teams out in the market place!!! Thank you to all of our Buyers, Sellers, and Asset Managers who trusted us!! We are here to serve!!!
Foreclosures’ collateral damage widespread
Friday, February 12th, 2010If you’re among the thousands of Sacramento-area homeowners who played it conservative during the housing boom, who didn’t refinance or flip to a bigger house, everyone else’s foreclosures reached out and smacked you anyway.
Sales prices are lower. There’s less home equity to tap into. Local services have been shredded by falling property tax revenue.
Such repo collateral damage is why so many owners who pay their mortgages on time are so grouchy.
Rob Wassmer hasn’t been affected so much. Fourteen years ago he bought an east Sacramento house – in the Fab 40s – cheaply at the very bottom of the last housing bust. His older neighborhood has largely escaped the brunt of 52,000 foreclosures across the Sacramento region since 2007.
But Wassmer knows the financial whipping people have taken in Lincoln, Elk Grove, North Highlands and Yuba City. Being an academic, he knew there had to be a number for the carnage.
“I knew this kind of research had been done. I wanted to do a study of Sacramento,” said Wassmer, chairman of California State University, Sacramento’s department of public policy and administration.
Wassmer analyzed $9 billion in sales prices from 36,822 home sales in Sacramento, Yolo, Yuba, Sutter, Placer and El Dorado counties between January 2008 and June 2009. Almost half were homes sold by banks. The other half were sold by regular folks.
He concluded that the foreclosed homes cost this one region of America $2.7 billion in price cuts and lost equity over just 18 months.
• The repos sold for $659 million less simply because they were bank-owned and differed from normal sales. They took $1 billion more in price cuts because they were near other repos.
• Both reductions then stripped $1 billion from sale prices of nearby homes never in foreclosure danger.
Collectively, these foreclosures cost local governments $27.1 million in property taxes. Reassessments will likely take more.
Said Wassmer, “This is a call for regulation.” He suggests a federal law to make lenders and borrowers meet in “structured mediation” at least once before foreclosure.
Few ideas have proved so far to be the solution. See the research directly at: >www.csus.edu/indiv/w/wassmerr/ResForeclosure.pdf
Tyler Smith & Team “Top Producer” for September Most Volume closed
Wednesday, October 14th, 2009
Thanks to all my workers here at the office, without them we could of not made this happen. Thanks to all the banks we service that trust us to service them. We all look forward to next month. Thank you!
Home Front: Competition frustrates first-time buyers….
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009Laurel Bane, 28, is a working professional with a down payment in hand. Hunting for her first home in Natomas, she’s made six offers since March. And she’s lost every house.
“It’s been a bidding-war hell,” Bane said. “I increased my offer by $12,000 on one, and I still lost out. I was $13,000 over asking price on another and still didn’t get it.”
Welcome to the punishment being inflicted this summer on first-time buyers. Considered saviors of the region’s real estate economy, thousands like Bane are trudging through minefields where their homebuying dreams are repeatedly blown up.
That’s because at the lower end of the price scale there are far more potential buyers than homes for sale.
Horror stories increasingly abound across a Sacramento housing market dominated by repos and short sales.
Home Front is hearing from buyers who expected it to be easy but are being outbid by investors. When they do offer more than investors, the bank often takes the lower bid because it’s cash.
Others say offers are made without getting any response.
The only way to compete is to bid well above the listing price. But when appraisals come in below the offer, the deal is killed.
The alternative is short sales, in which banks take less than owed to avoid the higher costs of foreclosures, but they can take months to complete.
Another snag: Home sales increasingly involve “flippers,” said Smith, referring to investors who buy properties that they try to quickly resell for a profit.
But if the so-called flipper hasn’t held the home for at least 90 days, the first-time buyer can’t get a Federal Housing Administration loan, which requires only 3.5 percent down.
“Minefield? That’s an understatement,” said Smith.
For Bane, who’s looking for a house below $200,000, it’s not been easy.
“I’m just looking for a small, manageable house for myself and one roommate. Yet everything I find is sold within the day,” said Bane, a facilities business coordinator at Rancho Cordova-based Vision Service Plan. “We’ll write an offer and submit it, and then find it was already sold.”
Bane had expected she’d be moved into her first home by now. With the federal Nov. 30 deadline for an $8,000 first-time buyer tax credit approaching, she’s fretting.
What’s roughing up buyers like Bane is a shortage of bank repos – and an unwillingness of most private homeowners to sell at today’s prices. For reasons that aren’t fully understood, banks have held thousands of repos off the market. The result is bidding wars, especially for homes listed below $200,000.
With defaults and foreclosures back on the rise regionally, I believes a “substantial” new supply of repos may hit the market next month.
“I am hoping that’s true because right now, I’m telling you, it’s tough on buyers.”
In Rocklin, would-be buyer Karin DeFoe said she’s just had her fourth offer fall apart. DeFoe, house hunting for her college-age son, said, “We haven’t had any luck.”
Last month, she told Home Front she’s lost offers on three houses to cash investors. All made lower bids than hers.
“All the repos are priced real low to start bidding wars,” she complained.
To Bane, it’s just plain frustrating.
“We’ll go into houses and people are there before us, and people are there after us,” she said. “Every house we look at has lines of buyers.”
Lender targets Nevada County for housing ban at golf course
Thursday, August 6th, 2009A Walnut Creek commercial lender that has repossessed two troubled golf course communities near Auburn has filed a claim against Nevada County, alleging a failing sewage treatment plant at DarkHorse Golf Club has halted home building at the upscale development.
“This has gone on for two years. We can’t build any more houses,” said Bob Bridge, vice president of real estate assets at Owens Financial Group.
Owens loaned $18 million to DarkHorse developers Ed and Chad Fralick in late 2004 to finish the luxury golf community, then repossessed the course and 75 lots in 2007 after the Fralicks sold only 32 homes, Bridge said Tuesday.
Now, stuck with lots that are losing value and unable to build on them, Owens is paying nearly $14,000 a month to haul DarkHorse wastewater two miles to a treatment plant at the nearby Lake of the Pines community.
“This golf course is like most golf courses,” said Bridge. “If you lose only a little bit, you’re doing good.”
Owens also repossessed the Auburn Country Club, which went into foreclosure in June.
The lending company’s claim, precursor to a lawsuit if negotiations fail, marks the latest drama in the region’s troubled-racked luxury golf club industry, which was soaring high just as the housing bubble burst.
A number of golf course residents who bought million-dollar homes have watched as memberships declined, clubs reverted to lenders, and private courses turned public to gain needed revenue. Now, lenders, too, must contend with unforeseen problems inherited after repossessing large golf properties.
The Owens claim alleges that Nevada County didn’t adequately inspect the developer’s incomplete water treatment system and shouldn’t have allowed residences to hook up to it. New-home permits at DarkHorse have been blocked until the sewage treatment system is brought up to state standards.
Nevada County officials declined comment Tuesday.
9.5 percent of Sacramento-area mortgages are late
Thursday, August 6th, 2009This just in from First American CoreLogic: showing that almost 10 percent of mortgages in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties are 90 days or more delinquent. That’s up from 6.7 percent a year ago.
Sales dip below last year with fewer repos on market
Monday, July 20th, 2009After 14 months of year-over-year sales gains in the Sacramento region, June’s home sales fell below those of June 2008. Market watchers say the frenzy ignited last year by an abundance of bank repos in the market has waned some. But short sales are starting to pick up.
Here is today’s story with the region’s June statistics from MDA DataQuick.
Here is a more detailed sales and price chart by ZIP Code.
