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Archive for August, 2009

2009 Football schedules are finally here!!

Sunday, August 30th, 2009

As usual we send football schedules, however this year we have something better. Pick the Pros lets football fans really participate by matching their picks against friends or local sportswriters’ picks. Every week of the season your customers will find each game’s favorite in the newspaper, write it down inthe book, and make their own picks. When the games are over, they’ll record the final score and calculate their own won/lost precentage for the week. Weekly schedules have the divisional lineups that show game listings by the pro football weeks, from 1 to 17. Each week lists the specific game dates and indicates which teams have an open date.

09footbakl

When the housing crash ends, how will Sacramento grow?

Sunday, August 30th, 2009

Some day this housing crash will end. Judging from history, Sacramento’s ranks of developers will snap right back into growth mode – building a fresh wave of new homes.

The big question: Will this new wave of growth create a more urban, compact Sacramento, as many community activists and politicians hope? Or will it follow the time-tested pattern of past booms in the late 1970s, the second half of the 1980s and the first half of this decade, pushing ever-larger homes farther into farmland?

Perhaps it’s easiest to expect more of the same. Suburban development has for decades been Sacramento’s main growth industry, aside from state government.

During this decade’s housing boom, builders constructed 156,000 homes, condos and apartments in the Sacramento region – largely on empty land in suburban cities. Much of this last wave of housing on former farmland has proved especially vulnerable to shredded values and foreclosures – a fate far less common in established neighborhoods closer to jobs.

Still, signs of change were starting to emerge even before the housing market fell apart. Loft-style housing projects were popping up all over Sacramento’s central city. And construction had begun on two 53-story condominium towers on Capitol Mall.

So might visions of mid- and high-rise living in downtown Sacramento take off where they left off – just as it seemed the city was reaching a new level?

Looking ahead, analysts believe the next wave of residential growth in the Sacramento region – perhaps still several years off – might be different. It’s likely to roll in with expensive gasoline, higher home energy costs and lenders’ continued insistence on tight credit.

State and federal policies governing the flow of public money increasingly favor more compact, transit-friendly types of development. And as baby boomers age, they are expected to move down to smaller housing units.

All these forces could mean more people in the next wave of growth will live in smaller homes, and more may live downtown. But no one should underestimate the ethos of the Central Valley: People here like yards and space.

Deeper Sacramento housing crisis is forecast

Thursday, August 27th, 2009

A major credit reporting company predicts mortgage delinquency rates will continue rising in the Sacramento area – with 12 percent of homeowners falling at least two months behind on their payments by year’s end.

That’s nearly twice the national projection and a dramatic jump from just two years ago, when less than 2 percent percent of area homeowners’ notes were delinquent.

California faces some challenges, and that’s reflected in the statistics,” said Ezra Becker, director of consulting and strategy at TransUnion, one of the nation’s three large credit reporting agencies.

“There are serious delinquency rates in California, and it’s not out of the woods by the end of the year,” Becker added. He predicted the delinquency rates in California would begin falling in 2010.

TransUnion, based in Chicago, analyzed trends in the mortgage industry for the second quarter and offered year-end projections for the Sacramento market and the state.

Today, Sacramento’s 60-day mortgage loan delinquency rate – the percentage of homeowners at least 60 days behind on their mortgage payments – stands at 9.62 percent, just below the state’s rate of 9.7 percent, according to Trans Union.

The national rate, at 5.81 percent, is projected to rise to 6.93 percent by the end of the year.

California trails just Arizona, Florida and Nevada, which has the highest delinquency rate at nearly 14 percent. Delinquency rates are a key indicator because the 60-day threshold is traditionally seen as a step toward foreclosure.

In markets where home values have dropped most sharply, delinquency and foreclosure rates are highest. By that measure, the capital remains in trouble. In June, more than half of Sacramento-area households owed more on their homes than they were worth, First American CoreLogic reported last week.

“As long as that persists, we’ll see delinquencies and foreclosures continue,” said Suzanne O’Keefe, an economics professor at California State University, Sacramento. “Until the housing market turns around, there’s not much hope for those rates to reverse.”

By the end of the year, TransUnion predicts, 12.2 percent of Sacramento-area homeowners and more than 14 percent of homeowners statewide will be at least two months behind on their house payments.

Double-digit percentage unemployment and unpaid furlough days are increasingly catching up with homeowners who have “safe” fixed-rate loans, rather than the subprime loans that initially sparked the housing crisis.

Mike Himes, director of NeighborWorks Homeownership Center in Sacramento, which counsels struggling and first-time homeowners, said his office is seeing more clients facing growing debt and making choices between house payments and other expenses. His clientele includes a growing number of state workers whose paychecks have been pared by unpaid furloughs.

“There’s a lot of money borrowed to stay in the house and keep up with living expenses,” Himes said. “This is becoming more and more of a problem.”

Despite the current darkness, Becker of TransUnion predicted the clouds could lift in 2010. And when they do, the sun will shine more brightly on the Golden State than the rest of the nation. TransUnion predicts that the delinquency rate will fall three times faster than in the nation as a whole.

“We anticipate the recovery will be more robust and last longer” than in other regions of the country, he said.

Own-ward Bound?

Wednesday, August 26th, 2009

Real estate illo

Four years ago, Michael Choe appeared in the pages of this magazine for doing something spectacular: choosing to be a renter. At a time when real estate riches were Topic A (“Home $weet Home,” read the TIME cover line), the engineer, from Sacramento, Calif., decided to sell his house and move with his wife and baby boy into a rental. “Compared to owning, rent is cheap,” he said back then.

Exceedingly smart move. Since the summer of 2005, house prices in Sacramento have plummeted by half. Choe and his family — which now includes a second son — watched from the sidelines until the end of last year. That’s when the Choes moved back into a home of their own, a four-bedroom they plucked out of foreclosure at a 35% discount from what it had sold for two years earlier. (See pictures of Americans in their homes.)

Is this smart move No. 2? In other words: Is it really time to buy?

As the housing bubble inflated, the math increasingly favored renting. House prices went up and up while rents stayed relatively flat, meaning you could get a lot more bang for your buck by choosing a lease over a deed. Now, with the housing market in a pulp, the tables are turning. Choe’s most recent rental cost him $1,500 a month. His new mortgage payment, for a same-size house, is $1,570 (after a 20% down payment). “Not a bad deal,” he says — especially considering that once Choe takes into account the money he saves on taxes by deducting his mortgage interest, his new payment is actually a couple of hundred bucks a month less.

Sure, it’s easy to toss around reasons it’s always better to be a homeowner (that mortgage-interest deduction) or it’s always better to be a renter (no property taxes, and who wants to fix his own garbage disposal?). The more complicated truth is that at certain times it makes more sense to be one or the other. (See high-end homes that won’t sell.)

Pick the PROS football schedule 2009

Wednesday, August 26th, 2009

We are getting ready to send out our 2009 Pick the Pros football schedules. This is the envelope that we are thinking of sending it in. I think people are going to like it!!Document1

Realtors say home sales rose 12 percent in state

Wednesday, August 26th, 2009

The California Association of Realtors’ latest report of monthly home sales offered a mixed bag.

CAR said Tuesday that statewide home sales increased 12 percent in July compared with July 2008, while the median price of an existing home declined 19.6 percent.

It was the 11th straight month that existing home sales outperformed sales in the year-ago period. And while median prices were down compared with last year, they rose for the fifth straight month this year.

“The federal tax credit for first-time buyers played a critical role,” said James Liptak, CAR president. “Nearly 40 percent of first-time buyers said they would not have purchased a home if the tax credit was not offered.”

In the Sacramento region, the median home price in July was $183,840, down 16.1 percent from a year ago, according to CAR. July home sales in the region were down 6.7 percent from a year ago, but up 6 percent over June.

July sees rise in home sales

Tuesday, August 25th, 2009

Home sales increased 12 percent in July in California compared with the same period a year ago, while the median price of an existing home declined 19.6 percent, the California Association of Realtors reported today.

It marked the 11th straight month that existing home sales in California outperformed sales in the year-ago period, and the fifth straight month of rising median prices.

“The federal tax credit for first-time buyers played a critical role in the purchase decision of many buyers,” said James Liptak, CAR president. “Nearly 40 percent of first-time buyers said they would not have purchased a home if the tax credit was not offered.”

CAR said closed escrow sales of existing single-family homes in California totaled 553,910 in July at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, up from 494,390 in July 2008. The statewide sales figure represents what the total number of homes sold during 2009 would be if sales maintained the July pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The median home price in California in July was $285,480, down from $355,000 in July last year, but up from $274,740 in June.

In the Sacramento region, CAR said the median home price in July was $183,840, down 16.1 percent from a year ago. CAR said July home sales in the region were down 6.7 percent from a year ago, but up 6 percent over June this year.

Sacramento’s July home sales mark a 2009 high

Monday, August 24th, 2009

Sacramento-area sales of new and existing homes reached a 2009 high in July as 3,815 buyers closed escrow, researcher MDA DataQuick reported this morning.

The sales tally included 3,495 existing homes and 320 new homes in Amador, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo and Yuba counties, according to the La Jolla-based researcher. Six of every 10 closed escrows were in Sacramento County, said DataQuick.

July sales beat June’s 3,758 total. But it was well below 4,126 closings in July 2008.

It’s the second straight month that sales have fallen below last year, when a massive supply of discounted bank repos fueled a sharp uptick in sales to first-time buyers and investors. The share of repo sales, which exceeded 70 percent early this year, fell below half in Sacramento County in July, according to the Sacramento Association of Realtors.

A dwindling share of repos drove up the county’s median price again in July to $180,000, DataQuick reported. That’s after two months holding steady at $175,000.

More significantly, the rate of year-over-year price declines greatly slowed again in July in Sacramento County, with prices 14.3 percent below the same time last year. For much of the past two years Sacramento County’s median prices – where half the homes sell for more and half for less – have slipped 30 percent or more from the same time a year earlier.

Regional highlights from DataQuick for new and existing homes combined:

Sacramento County reported 2,318 sales, up from 2,284 in June. The $180,000 median price compared to $210,000 in June 2008.

Placer County reported 617 sales, up from 598 in June. The county’s median sales price of $295,500 was down 14.3 percent from $345,000 last year.

El Dorado County’s 237 sales were up from 218 in June. Its median price, $330,000 was down 15.4 percent from $390,000 in July 2008.

• Yolo County’s 240 sales were up from 225 in June. The county’s $281,500 median price was down 3.9 percent from $293,000 the same time last year.

Sutter County reported 110 sales, down from 123 in June. The county’s $160,000 median price was down 21.2 percent from last year’s $203,000.

• Yuba County’s 113 sales were also down from 136 in June. The $155,000 median price was down 15.5 percent from $183,500 in July 2008.

Nevada County reported 151 closed escrows, up from 143 in June. The county’s median sales price, $320,000, was down 14.1 percent from $372,500 the same time last year.

Amador County’s 29 sales were down from 31 in June. Its $197,250 median price was down 32.6 percent from $292,750 in July 2008.

Regionally, the number of for-sale signs also fell for a 23rd straight month in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties after peaking at 16,262 in Aug. 2007. Sacramento-based researcher TrendGraphix reported 6,572 homes on the market in the four counties as July ended, the fewest in four years.

TrendGraphix said 14 percent of the for-sale signs were tied to bank repos and 27 percent to buyers seeking short sales, where banks accept less than owed to avoid the higher costs of foreclosing.

The real estate service Trulia also reported this week that 27 percent of Sacramento-area listings have cut prices, with the average drop being 11 percent.

July Home Sales

Monday, August 24th, 2009

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Sacramento-area home sales remain sluggish

Monday, August 24th, 2009

Sales of existing homes in the Sacramento area climbed 2.6 percent from June to July – far short of the surprising 7.2 percent rise nationally that sent stocks soaring Friday.

A July report showed sales of 3,495 existing homes in Amador, El Dorado, Nevada, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo and Yuba counties, according to San Diego-based researcher MDA DataQuick.

Buyers also closed escrow on 320 new homes to push July’s regional sales tally to 3,815, up slightly from 3,758 in June.

The rise failed by a long shot to match the U.S. sales increase from June to July. The National Association of Realtors called it the fastest monthly gain since 1999 and a sign that the market “has decisively turned for the better.”

In the capital region, however, where the housing market is struggling to regain its footing, this year’s July sales were lower than the 4,126 sales reported in July 2008. By comparison, there were 2,906 area sales in July 2007 and 3,275 in July 2006. In July 2005: 6,159.

July marked the second straight month in which sales dipped below the same time a year ago. Last year a massive supply of bank repos fueled a sales boom by first-time buyers and investors. The boom has faded as repos fell to 58.7 percent of July sales, the lowest share in 15 months, DataQuick reported.

A dwindling supply of cheap repos drove Sacramento County’s median price higher – to $180,000 – in July, DataQuick reported. That’s after two months at $175,000, and well up from February’s low of $160,000 in a county that’s home to about six in 10 of the area’s home sales.

DataQuick said 38 percent of Sacramento County sales were below $150,000. Homes priced at $400,000 and higher were 6.6 percent of July sales.

Significantly, the rate of year-over-year price declines slowed in Sacramento County. July prices were 14.3 percent below July 2008. For much of the past two years Sacramento County’s median price – where half of homes sell for more and half for less – slipped 30 percent or more from the same month a year earlier.

“We’re coming off that period when we had the steepest slides,” said DataQuick analyst Andrew LePage. “It’s going to get easier and easier to get to single-digit decline from a year ago unless we see foreclosures and job losses ratchet up.”

Foreclosures in the region, indeed, rose in the second quarter of 2009. The unemployment rate in the region has climbed to 11.8 percent and to a record 11.9 percent in California, the state reported.

July’s median sales prices in Sacramento County are back to what they were in September 2001. Then, the county’s median household income was $44,928, according to Claritas, a demographic research company. Today, it’s $57,847, suggesting a market again well matched with incomes and even overcorrecting after its housing boom excesses.

Prices are back to October 2002 levels in Placer and Sutter counties and mid-2003 in El Dorado, Yolo and Yuba counties.

“It’s affordable by all our natural price measures,” said Dean Wehrli, a Sacramento executive with San Diego-based Sullivan Group Real Estate Advisors. “I would say we’re in the middle of the overcorrection.”

Wehrli said today’s median price for existing homes in Sacramento County is about the same as if the boom had not occurred and prices rose 3.4 percent a year since 2000.

But it’s still not easy to buy, complain first-timers trying to snag bargains.

“I’ve been in this since March. I’ve been outbid. I’m bidding $30,000 over the asking price. And still, cash just walked in and took it,” said Dianna Starr of Sacramento. “People I know say it’s a buyer’s market. No, it’s not.”

Starr, outbid by investors on several foreclosed homes in the $135,000 range is trying now to buy a short sale listing. That’s an equally frustrating problem for buyers.

In short sales, a bank agrees to a sales price below what it’s owed on the house. Complications abound.

Starr said in her case the main mortgage lender wants to sell, but lender JPMorgan Chase has balked at taking a loss on a home equity line of credit.

“I’m doing everything I can,” said the medical transcriptionist at Solano State Prison. “I’m a hard-working person that can’t catch a break.”

Regionally, the number of for-sale signs in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties fell for a 23rd month. Sacramento researcher TrendGraphix reported 6,572 homes on the market in the four counties as July ended, the fewest in four years.